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Commentary By Carolyn D. Gorman, Esme Vroom

Are Doctors Overdiagnosing Depression?

Photo by Justin Paget via Getty Images

This week, Gallup published a poll showing US depression rates for the first quarter of 2026. Over 19% of adults report that they have depression or are being treated for it, a comparable rate to the prior quarter but nearly double where the figure stood in 2015.

Since 2015, when Gallup began to track this measure, the US has seen a period of greatly expanded access to mental healthcare. When the Affordable Care Act took effect in 2010, up to 37 million previously uninsured Americans, 29% of whom had preexisting behavioral health disorders, gained access to mental-health service coverage. Today, coverage has continued to increase, with marketplace enrollment doubling between 2020 and 2025.

Continue reading the entire piece here at UnHerd

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Carolyn D. Gorman is a Paulson Policy Analyst at the Manhattan Institute. Esme Vroom is a collegiate associate at the Manhattan Institute.